Grand Island is a mid-sized city in the central area of Nebraska. Originally named La Grande Island by French fur traders, Grand Island is in an area that resembled an island where the Wood River joins the Platte River. The first settlement was in 1857 by German immigrants from Davenport Iowa who believed that Grand Island was the actual “center” of the United States, and they hoped that Grand Island would become the nation’s capital for that reason. Of course, this never happened, but they were close; the actual center of the United States is Lebanon, Kansas which is only 85 miles away.

Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Blog 1 - Overview

This region is a long-grass prairie in the Great Plains with the land near Grand Island especially fertile due to the alluvial deposits from the two rivers.  Agriculture has always been the primary land use for this region.  The Platte River is a primary water source for this region.


In figuring the Bowen Ration for this location, I used a daily temperature (sensible heat) of 55º F.  For the wet bulb temperature (latent heat), I used a calculator from the web (http://www.4wx.com/wxcalc/) which gave me a wet bulb temperature of 45º F.  The resulting ratio, 55 divided by 45, equals 1.2.  This ratio is indicative of a fairly strong continental climate.  And Grand Island, Nebraska does have this type of climate with cold winters and hot summers. 


Grand Island's annual data is an average temperature of 55 ºF with annual high 61.8 ºF and low 38.3 ºF; the annual precipitation is 24.9 inches.  Here is a link to the climate data for Grand Island for 2011.  
In the Minigeebitt_b3 program, with the Earth’s albedo at 0.306 and the Greenhouse Effect at 1.0, the average global temperature is 58.9ºF.  When the albedo is increased 10% to 0.406, the temperature decreases to 39.1ºF; when decreased 10% to 0.206, the temperature increases to 76.7ºF.  When the Greenhouse Effect is increased to 1.10, the temperature increases to 63.9ºF; when decreased to 0.90, the temperature decreases to 53.8ºF. 

What would these hypothetical global temperature changes mean for Grand Island’s weather?  The weather of the Great Plains is very dependent on the flow of the jet stream.  This jet stream’s flow is influenced by the Icelandic Low and the Bermuda High.  For the location of Grand Island, Nebraska, any change that decreases the global temperature would most likely weaken the Bermuda High and strengthen the Icelandic Low.  This would most likely result in the jet stream staying north or approximately over Nebraska which would create windy, drier and milder winters with cooler summers and shorter growing seasons.  An increase in global temperatures would do the opposite with a stronger Bermuda High and weaker Icelandic Low.  I believe this would result in the jet stream coming further south carrying colder Arctic air in the winter; however the winter would be shorter with much longer and hotter summers.  I think it is very probable that precipitation would be affected with snowier winters and possible summer drought. 

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